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Easy Rider ? Not so!

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An excellent & lovely service , everyone of us uses doesn’t necessarily implies an excellent investment opportunity and UBER may be such a case. UBER one of the recent & most anticipated IPOs has been facing many headwinds and our quantamental model has raised a SHORT flag.
Based on technical & fundamental factors , UBER now at 44.16 has a greater than 75% chance of underperforming the market within 2019. More specifically a price of 37 – 40 USD , a 10-20% fall from recent levels , has a chance of 72% the next 1-5 months. IPOs especially at their first months after their debut are very volatile up to some weeks after their unlock period.

Games we play

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Almost verybody likes playing games and all of us know characters like Mario, Yoshi, Pokemon , Zelda etc. Now there maybe a nice chance to profit from these , by buying the Nintendo (NTDOY) stock. The company which owns all the above characters and produces consoles & video game titles & characters is on our quant model’s radar, which has recently given its stock a very positive BUY signal based on fundamentals & technical factors. NTDOY at 44.13 currently has a greater than 72% chance to move higher than 20% in the next 6-7 months. Given a relatively not very bad market , the stock will over perform the market by a considerable margin , although its volatility must be taken into account when adding to our portfolio. $NTDOY $QUANT $STOCKS

A not so cloudy cloud SW stock

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In the recent full of mines environment is very hard to find opportunities , without being ready to sustain the possible short term pain. But in harsh conditions and even worse than this of the last days, there is a real chance to identify some real gems. One of this, is Paylocity Holding Corporation (PCTY) which is a cloud SW firm providing payroll & human resources management services. The stock now at 101.42 got a green flag from our stock selection quantamental model based on fundamentals & technical factors as inputs. It has a 85% chance of outperforming the market in the next 3-6 months, even though it had a run of more than 65% in 2019. We would suggest opening a small position and add gradually to it, if the market stabilizes and our hypothesis starts working.